Kampot Forecast Models Compared – ECMWF, GFS, ICON, JMA
Four models compared
| ECMWF IFS | NOAA GFS | DWD ICON | JMA | Agreement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday 21/09 | 29° 8.5mm | 30° 5.1mm | 31° 15.6mm | 29° 0.4mm | 72% ±2.5° · 3/4 |
| Tuesday 22/09 | 29° 9.0mm | 27° 33.1mm | 31° 24.6mm | 29° 10.4mm | 76% ±3.9° · 4/4 |
| Wednesday 23/09 | 27° 12.3mm | 27° 3.6mm | 32° 5.1mm | 28° 27.6mm | 68% ±5.2° · 4/4 |
When the models disagree, confidence in that day is lower.
- ECMWF IFS — ECMWF (EU), 25 km
- NOAA GFS — NOAA (US), 13 km
- DWD ICON — Deutscher Wetterdienst, 11 km
- JMA — Japan Met. Agency, 5 km
Verified accuracy
| Lead time | Mean temperature error | Within 2°C | Rain call correct | Days verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1.55 °C | 67% | 81% | 21 |
| 2d | 1.85 °C | 65% | 85% | 20 |
| 3d | 2.49 °C | 53% | 84% | 19 |
Every day the system stores the forecast it issued, then checks it against observed data. These numbers are the result of that check, not a marketing claim.
2026-08-13 → 2026-09-02 · n=60
Common questions
Will it rain in Kampot today?
Yes. Rain is expected around 01:00–00:00, totalling roughly 8.6 mm.
How hot is it in Kampot today?
Between 25°C and 29°C, with a felt maximum of 34°C.
What is the weather in Kampot tomorrow?
Tomorrow: thunderstorm, 25–28°C, with a 96% chance of rain.